Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:30·DEN 16, BAL 0

   (:30) (No Huddle) 5-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 81-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at DEN 2. 25-C.Harris for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Chris Harris' 98-yd INT return for TD is the longest INT return in Denver history. Breaks record of 93 by Randy Gradishar in 1980.

   +25pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:17·DEN 0, BAL 0

   (12:17) 5-J.Flacco up the middle to DEN 45 for 1 yard (97-J.Bannan). FUMBLES (97-J.Bannan), RECOVERED by DEN-26-R.Moore at DEN 47. 26-R.Moore to DEN 47 for no gain (82-T.Smith).

   +11pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q1 · 9:52·DEN 0, BAL 0

   (9:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 14-B.Stokley to BAL 17 for 14 yards.

   +8pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:00·DEN 10, BAL 0

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 12-J.Jones to DEN 34 for 43 yards (32-T.Carter).

   +7pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 12:12·DEN 3, BAL 0

   (12:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 87-E.Decker for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 87-E.Decker ran ob at BAL 1 for 14 yards (22-J.Smith).

   +6pp

   DEN