Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 0:22·BAL 13, DEN 15

   (:22) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right intended for 89-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Talib at DEN 49. 21-A.Talib for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +30pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:36·BAL 13, DEN 19

   (:36) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle intended for 80-C.Gillmore INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Stewart (30-D.Bruton) at DEN 0. Touchback (14-M.Brown).

   +27pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 14:13·BAL 9, DEN 9

   (14:13) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left intended for 11-J.Norwood INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Smith [24-K.Arrington] at DEN 24. 22-J.Smith for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:10·BAL 13, DEN 19

   (1:10) (Shotgun) 29-J.Forsett right end pushed ob at DEN 19 for 20 yards (26-D.Stewart).

   +16pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:49·BAL 13, DEN 19

   (1:49) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 80-C.Gillmore to DEN 47 for 14 yards (30-D.Bruton).

   +13pp

   BAL