Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 15:00·DEN 0, BAL 12

   5-M.Prater kicks 65 yards from DEN 30 to BAL 5. 21-L.Webb for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:00·DEN 0, BAL 0

   (3:00) 8-K.Orton pass short right to 27-K.Moreno to DEN 27 for -5 yards (20-E.Reed). FUMBLES (20-E.Reed), RECOVERED by BAL-55-T.Suggs at DEN 23. 55-T.Suggs to DEN 23 for no gain (73-C.Kuper). Denver challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 02:46.)

   +14pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q1 · 4:57·DEN 0, BAL 0

   (4:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass incomplete short left to 15-K.Washington. PENALTY on BAL-85-D.Mason, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at DEN 36. Derrick Mason penalized for throwing helmet after no penalty was called.

   +8pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:13·DEN 7, BAL 22

   (13:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 85-D.Mason for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +5pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q3 · 9:48·DEN 6, BAL 13

   (9:48) 27-K.Moreno left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +5pp

   DEN