Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 6:00·PIT 6, TB 7

   (6:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 89-V.McDonald for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:08·PIT 6, TB 7

   (1:08) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 19-J.Smith-Schuster to TB 49 for 43 yards (21-J.Evans) [93-G.McCoy]. Penalty on TB-90-J.Pierre-Paul, Defensive Offside, declined. PENALTY on TB-93-G.McCoy, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at TB 49.

   +16pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q2 · 5:58·PIT 16, TB 7

   (5:58) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 34-T.Edmunds at PIT 30. 34-T.Edmunds to TB 35 for 35 yards (32-J.Rodgers).

   +15pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q2 · 11:31·PIT 9, TB 7

   (11:31) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 12-C.Godwin to TB 35 for 12 yards (25-A.Burns) [90-T.Watt]. FUMBLES (25-A.Burns), RECOVERED by PIT-28-M.Hilton at TB 35. 28-M.Hilton to TB 33 for 2 yards (12-C.Godwin).

   +14pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q1 · 10:03·PIT 0, TB 0

   (10:03) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left intended for 19-J.Smith-Schuster INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Evans at TB 47. 21-J.Evans ran ob at TB 47 for no gain.

   +13pp

   TAM