Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 6:07·NO 17, TB 10

   (6:07) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.

   +11pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q1 · 10:13·NO 0, TB 0

   (10:13) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 82-B.Watson pushed ob at TB 15 for 26 yards (23-C.Conte).

   +9pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:55·NO 7, TB 0

   (14:55) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 83-W.Snead pushed ob at TB 22 for 41 yards (30-B.McDougald).

   +9pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q2 · 10:08·NO 14, TB 0

   (10:08) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston scrambles up the middle to NO 24 for 18 yards (31-J.Byrd).

   +6pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q3 · 5:13·NO 17, TB 10

   (5:13) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees sacked at NO 25 for -7 yards (59-K.Brown). PENALTY on TB-95-H.Jones, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at NO 32 - No Play.

   +6pp

   NOR