Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:05·TB 23, NO 19

   (3:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 22-M.Ingram to NO 36 for -3 yards (23-C.Conte). FUMBLES (23-C.Conte), RECOVERED by TB-90-H.Melton at NO 33. 90-H.Melton ran ob at NO 33 for no gain. Pass -5, YAC 2 The Replay Official reviewed the loose ball recovery ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +20pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q4 · 9:04·TB 23, NO 13

   (9:04) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at TB 25 for -2 yards (44-H.Kikaha). FUMBLES (44-H.Kikaha) [44-H.Kikaha], RECOVERED by NO-91-K.Edebali at TB 25. 91-K.Edebali to TB 25 for no gain (68-J.Hawley).

   +16pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q2 · 3:45·TB 3, NO 0

   (3:45) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 12-M.Colston to TB 36 for 21 yards (28-T.Jennings). Pass 12, YAC 9

   +11pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q4 · 8:03·TB 23, NO 13

   (8:03) 22-D.Martin right guard to TB 30 for -2 yards (93-K.Williams). FUMBLES (93-K.Williams), RECOVERED by NO-94-C.Jordan at TB 30. 94-C.Jordan to TB 30 for no gain (74-A.Marpet).

   +11pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:16·TB 9, NO 7

   (:16) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 83-V.Jackson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 15, YAC 0

   +10pp

   TAM