Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:40·JAX 22, PIT 22

   (2:40) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to PIT 12 for 20 yards (27-An.Smith, 23-T.Carter).

   +23pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 5:54·JAX 22, PIT 20

   (5:54) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 85-N.Washington for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PIT-85-N.Washington was injured during the play.

   +23pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:02·JAX 28, PIT 22

   (2:02) 28-F.Taylor right guard for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 5:46·JAX 22, PIT 22

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 80-C.Wilson pass to 10-S.Holmes is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

   +13pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:09·JAX 3, PIT 0

   (6:09) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at JAX 46 for -9 yards (57-B.Hawkins).

   +11pp

   JAX