Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 7:05·NE 26, MIA 14

   (7:05) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 11-J.Edelman for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-36-T.Lippett was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.

   +19pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:47·NE 0, MIA 0

   (11:47) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 11-J.Edelman to MIA 38 for 20 yards (42-S.Paysinger).

   +11pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 8:46·NE 20, MIA 13

   (8:46) (Shotgun) 8-M.Moore pass deep middle to 10-K.Stills for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q4 · 8:55·NE 27, MIA 14

   (8:55) (Shotgun) 8-M.Moore pass short left to 26-D.Williams to NE 6 for 3 yards (32-D.McCourty). FUMBLES (32-D.McCourty), RECOVERED by NE-58-S.McClellin at NE 13. 58-S.McClellin pushed ob at MIA 18 for 69 yards (26-D.Williams).

   +8pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:04·NE 20, MIA 7

   (:04) (Field Goal formation) 3-S.Gostkowski 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.

   +7pp

   MIA