Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 10:46·IND 33, HOU 27

   (10:46) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck FUMBLES (Aborted) at IND 45, RECOVERED by HOU-99-J.Watt at IND 45. 99-J.Watt for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:00·IND 33, HOU 28

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at HOU 18 for -3 yards (92-B.Werner). FUMBLES (92-B.Werner), RECOVERED by IND-52-D.Jackson at HOU 22. 52-D.Jackson to HOU 22 for no gain (60-B.Jones).

   +16pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:47·IND 33, HOU 28

   (4:47) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 80-A.Johnson to IND 41 for 13 yards (21-V.Davis). FUMBLES (21-V.Davis), RECOVERED by IND-29-M.Adams at IND 40. 29-M.Adams to IND 40 for no gain (80-A.Johnson). The Replay Official challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +13pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:20·IND 0, HOU 0

   (12:20) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 13-T.Hilton pushed ob at HOU 10 for 40 yards (24-J.Joseph).

   +13pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q4 · 9:11·IND 33, HOU 28

   (9:11) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep left to 14-H.Nicks (34-A.J. Bouye). PENALTY on HOU-34-A.J. Bouye, Defensive Pass Interference, 27 yards, enforced at IND 18 - No Play.

   +9pp

   IND