Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 7:15·BAL 7, DAL 0

   (7:15) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 19-B.Butler to BAL 7 for 41 yards (24-S.Wright). Pass complete on a Go pattern.

   +11pp

   DAL
2. 2
   Q1 · 6:56·BAL 0, DAL 0

   (6:56) 30-K.Dixon left guard to DAL 34 for 20 yards (27-J.Wilcox).

   +8pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q3 · 9:04·BAL 10, DAL 10

   (9:04) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 83-T.Williams (36-T.Young). PENALTY on BAL-36-T.Young, Defensive Pass Interference, 33 yards, enforced at BAL 50 - No Play.

   +8pp

   DAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 6:01·BAL 7, DAL 6

   (6:01) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 11-C.Beasley for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [57-C.Mosley]. PENALTY on BAL-57-C.Mosley, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +7pp

   DAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 14:21·BAL 7, DAL 0

   (14:21) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 89-S.Smith ran ob at BAL 21 for 13 yards. Dallas challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)

   +7pp

   BAL