Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:42·BAL 25, DAL 17

   (3:42) 23-W.McGahee up the middle for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +21pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:43·BAL 6, DAL 7

   (:43) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass deep left intended for 81-T.Owens INTERCEPTED by 20-E.Reed at BAL 20. 20-E.Reed to BAL 49 for 29 yards (23-T.Choice).

   +15pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:02·BAL 0, DAL 0

   (12:02) 5-J.Flacco sacked at BAL 3 for -6 yards (94-D.Ware). FUMBLES (94-D.Ware) [94-D.Ware], RECOVERED by DAL-98-G.Ellis at BAL 4.

   +14pp

   DAL
4. 4
   Q3 · 2:58·BAL 15, DAL 7

   (2:58) 5-J.Flacco pass short left to 85-D.Mason for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass caught left corner of the end zone.

   +11pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 11:37·BAL 16, DAL 7

   (11:37) 9-T.Romo FUMBLES (Aborted) at BAL 17, ball out of bounds at BAL 17. On option-right, Romo's lateral to Choice rolled out-of-bounds.

   +9pp

   BAL