Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 8:39·SEA 25, NE 24

   (8:39) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 11-J.Edelman to SEA 38 for 5 yards (31-K.Chancellor). FUMBLES (31-K.Chancellor), RECOVERED by SEA-25-R.Sherman at SEA 38. 25-R.Sherman to NE 48 for 14 yards (61-M.Cannon).

   +22pp

   SEA
2. 2
   Q3 · 0:10·SEA 22, NE 21

   (:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 11-J.Edelman pushed ob at SEA 9 for 33 yards (29-E.Thomas).

   +18pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 11:09·SEA 22, NE 24

   (11:09) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 22-C.Prosise to NE 2 for 38 yards (32-D.McCourty; 52-E.Roberts).

   +18pp

   SEA
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:33·SEA 31, NE 24

   (2:33) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 11-J.Edelman to SEA 24 for 30 yards (29-E.Thomas; 25-R.Sherman).

   +17pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:29·SEA 31, NE 24

   (1:29) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 87-R.Gronkowski to SEA 2 for 26 yards (35-D.Shead). NE 12-Brady 75th career 300-yard game, 3rd most all-time.

   +15pp

   NWE