Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:59·NE 24, SEA 21

   (1:59) 15-S.Wallace sacked at NE 49 for -5 yards (31-B.Meriweather). FUMBLES (31-B.Meriweather) [31-B.Meriweather], RECOVERED by NE-93-R.Seymour at SEA 49. 93-R.Seymour to SEA 49 for no gain (77-F.Womack).

   +31pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:50·NE 22, SEA 21

   (2:50) 34-S.Morris up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +21pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 5:09·NE 16, SEA 21

   (5:09) (Shotgun) 16-M.Cassel pass short left to 83-W.Welker pushed ob at SEA 6 for 25 yards (24-D.Grant).

   +17pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q3 · 2:06·NE 13, SEA 14

   (2:06) 15-S.Wallace pass short right to 83-D.Branch pushed ob at NE 9 for 63 yards (29-L.Sanders). New England challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1.)

   +14pp

   SEA
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:40·NE 24, SEA 21

   (2:40) (Shotgun) 15-S.Wallace scrambles right end to NE 43 for 23 yards (21-D.O'Neal).

   +13pp

   SEA