Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:27·NE 23, SEA 23

   (1:27) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 18-S.Rice for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +27pp

   SEA
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:25·NE 7, SEA 3

   (4:25) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 89-D.Baldwin to NE 34 for 50 yards (24-K.Arrington).

   +14pp

   SEA
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:58·NE 23, SEA 24

   (:58) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 83-W.Welker to NE 28 for 15 yards (54-B.Wagner).

   +13pp

   SEA
4. 4
   Q1 · 5:59·NE 6, SEA 3

   (5:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 83-W.Welker for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:48·NE 17, SEA 10

   (:48) (Punt formation) 9-J.Ryan FUMBLES (Aborted) at SEA 24, and recovers at SEA 24. 9-J.Ryan to SEA 24 for no gain (99-T.Scott; 59-B.Carpenter).

   +13pp

   NWE