Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 5:29·NYJ 23, MIA 26

   2-N.Folk kicks 66 yards from NYJ 30 to MIA 4. 32-K.Drake for 96 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +33pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q4 · 7:07·NYJ 16, MIA 20

   (7:07) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left intended for 11-R.Anderson INTERCEPTED by 28-B.McCain at MIA -9. Touchback.

   +24pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q4 · 6:01·NYJ 16, MIA 20

   (6:01) (Punt formation) 4-M.Darr FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIA 10, and recovers at MIA 17. 4-M.Darr to MIA 18 for 1 yard (26-C.Spiller). FUMBLES (26-C.Spiller), recovered by MIA-42-S.Paysinger at MIA 18. 42-S.Paysinger to MIA 18 for no gain (49-T.Jones).

   +22pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q4 · 8:52·NYJ 16, MIA 20

   (8:52) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson to MIA 13 for 27 yards (36-T.Lippett).

   +16pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q3 · 5:08·NYJ 13, MIA 17

   (5:08) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle intended for 88-A.Seferian-Jenkins INTERCEPTED by 97-J.Phillips at NYJ 31. 97-J.Phillips to NYJ 14 for 17 yards (17-C.Peake).

   +15pp

   MIA