Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 4:19·NYJ 27, MIA 24

   (4:19) (Punt formation) 4-R.Quigley pass short middle to 44-Z.Sudfeld to MIA 23 for 38 yards (14-J.Landry).

   +22pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q3 · 8:49·NYJ 21, MIA 24

   (8:49) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 87-E.Decker to MIA 13 for 50 yards (21-B.Grimes).

   +18pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q2 · 13:37·NYJ 7, MIA 3

   (13:37) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith left end to NYJ 21 for 2 yards (20-R.Jones). FUMBLES (20-R.Jones), RECOVERED by MIA-93-J.Trusnik at NYJ 21. 93-J.Trusnik to NYJ 21 for no gain (7-G.Smith).

   +17pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q3 · 13:10·NYJ 14, MIA 17

   (13:10) 33-C.Ivory right guard to MIA 3 for no gain (53-J.Jenkins).

   +16pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q3 · 15:00·NYJ 14, MIA 17

   9-C.Sturgis kicks 64 yards from MIA 35 to NYJ 1. 14-C.Owusu to MIA 12 for 87 yards (41-R.Stanford).

   +16pp

   NYJ