Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:09·NYJ 13, MIA 7

   (:09) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith right guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:32·NYJ 0, MIA 0

   (13:32) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 18-R.Matthews to NYJ 9 for 21 yards (22-E.Reed) [52-D.Harris].

   +10pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:31·NYJ 0, MIA 0

   (5:31) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 86-D.Nelson ran ob at MIA 45 for 24 yards.

   +9pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q2 · 14:22·NYJ 0, MIA 0

   (14:22) 26-L.Miller left guard to NYJ 30 for 12 yards (26-D.Landry).

   +8pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:09·NYJ 14, MIA 7

   (4:09) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right intended for 11-M.Wallace INTERCEPTED by 27-D.Milliner at NYJ 22. 27-D.Milliner to NYJ 22 for no gain (11-M.Wallace). PENALTY on NYJ-96-M.Wilkerson, Unnecessary Roughness, 11 yards, enforced at NYJ 22. The Replay Assistant challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +8pp

   NYJ