Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 1:12·TEN 20, HOU 26

   (1:12) 6-B.Kern punts 45 yards to HOU 33, Center-48-B.Brinkley. 15-W.Fuller for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (The Punt Hangtime Was 3.65 seconds.)

   +17pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q3 · 11:00·TEN 17, HOU 20

   (11:00) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep middle to 18-R.Matthews to HOU 34 for 22 yards (30-K.Johnson) [94-A.Smith].

   +14pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q2 · 6:55·TEN 10, HOU 17

   (6:55) 17-B.Osweiler pass short left intended for 10-D.Hopkins INTERCEPTED by 30-J.McCourty at HOU 45. 30-J.McCourty to HOU 39 for 6 yards (10-D.Hopkins).

   +13pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 7:06·TEN 10, HOU 17

   (7:06) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left intended for 82-D.Walker INTERCEPTED by 27-Q.Demps at HOU 35. 27-Q.Demps to HOU 41 for 6 yards (82-D.Walker).

   +13pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:15·TEN 17, HOU 17

   (:15) (Shotgun) 17-B.Osweiler pass incomplete short right to 10-D.Hopkins (20-P.Cox). PENALTY on TEN-20-P.Cox, Defensive Pass Interference, 13 yards, enforced at TEN 40 - No Play.

   +12pp

   HOU