Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:53·PIT 17, BAL 20

   (1:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass incomplete deep right to 11-M.Wheaton (35-S.Wright) [91-C.Upshaw].

   +14pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 13:01·PIT 10, BAL 13

   (13:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Smith at BAL 42. 22-J.Smith to BAL 42 for no gain (84-A.Brown).

   +11pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q4 · 12:15·PIT 10, BAL 13

   (12:15) (Shotgun) 7-R.Mallett pass deep left to 13-C.Givens to PIT 32 for 39 yards (23-M.Mitchell).

   +10pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q1 · 11:04·PIT 0, BAL 0

   (11:04) 34-D.Williams right guard to BAL 25 for no gain (91-C.Upshaw; 51-D.Smith).

   +10pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:28·PIT 0, BAL 0

   (8:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-R.Mallett pass short right to 17-J.Butler to PIT 33 for 16 yards (23-M.Mitchell).

   +9pp

   BAL