Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:03·BAL 16, PIT 19

   (:03) (Field Goal formation) 6-S.Suisham 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-Z.Mesko.

   +20pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:50·BAL 3, PIT 10

   (:50) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 83-H.Miller to PIT 45 for 14 yards (51-D.Smith). FUMBLES (51-D.Smith), RECOVERED by BAL-26-M.Elam at PIT 45. 26-M.Elam to PIT 38 for 7 yards (66-D.DeCastro).

   +10pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q3 · 13:52·BAL 6, PIT 10

   (13:52) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco scrambles left end ran ob at BAL 40 for 12 yards. PENALTY on PIT-24-I.Taylor, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 40.

   +9pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:56·BAL 16, PIT 16

   (:56) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 84-A.Brown ran ob at BAL 38 for 13 yards.

   +8pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q4 · 5:56·BAL 9, PIT 16

   (5:56) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 17-T.Doss to PIT 26 for 13 yards (43-T.Polamalu).

   +8pp

   BAL