Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 7:01·PIT 0, BAL 0

   (7:01) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 15-J.Brown to BAL 16 for 6 yards (51-D.Smith). FUMBLES (51-D.Smith), RECOVERED by BAL-93-D.Tyson at BAL 15. 93-D.Tyson to BAL 15 for no gain (83-H.Miller).

   +15pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q1 · 8:32·PIT 0, BAL 0

   (8:32) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle to 84-A.Brown to BAL 23 for 18 yards (24-D.Stewart).

   +12pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q3 · 8:46·PIT 6, BAL 10

   (8:46) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 88-D.Pitta to PIT 40 for 24 yards (50-R.Shazier).

   +7pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q3 · 11:59·PIT 3, BAL 10

   (11:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at BAL 28 for -7 yards (58-E.Dumervil).

   +7pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 14:14·PIT 0, BAL 0

   (14:14) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at PIT 11 for -10 yards (sack split by 58-E.Dumervil and 91-C.Upshaw). PENALTY on BAL-91-C.Upshaw, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at PIT 21 - No Play.

   +6pp

   PIT