Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 8:48·TB 6, NO 7

   (8:48) 8-M.Glennon pass deep middle to 11-T.Underwood for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play was a flea-flicker: Glennon handed off to #43 B.Rainey, who rushed to the line of scrimmage and lateralled back to Glennon, who passed deep to Underwood. Pass 48, YAC 0

   +13pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q1 · 10:23·TB 0, NO 6

   (10:23) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle to 16-L.Moore for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 34, YAC 10 PENALTY on NO-84-K.Stills, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +12pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:50·TB 14, NO 27

   (2:50) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle to 84-K.Stills for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 29, YAC 47

   +11pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:12·TB 7, NO 20

   (8:12) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 17-R.Meachem for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 40, YAC 1 The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +10pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:36·TB 7, NO 7

   (6:36) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 80-J.Graham to TB 36 for 33 yards (37-K.Tandy). Pass 21, YAC 12

   +8pp

   NOR