Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 14:57·DAL 20, NO 26

   (14:57) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 28-C.Spiller for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 18, YAC 62

   +47pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:16·DAL 20, NO 20

   (:16) 2-Z.Hocker 30 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-7-L.McCown.

   +37pp

   DAL
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:56·DAL 19, NO 20

   (1:56) (Shotgun) 3-B.Weeden pass deep right to 83-T.Williams for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NO-78-B.Richardson was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

   +20pp

   DAL
4. 4
   Q3 · 9:45·DAL 10, NO 10

   (9:45) 3-B.Weeden pass deep left to 19-B.Butler pushed ob at NO 9 for 67 yards (39-B.Browner). Pass 41, YAC 26

   +19pp

   DAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:31·DAL 20, NO 20

   (:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 16-B.Coleman to DAL 17 for 30 yards (59-A.Hitchens). Pass 25, YAC 5

   +14pp

   NOR