Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:21·NO 31, DAL 30

   (:21) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass deep right to 19-M.Austin for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass caught 4 yards deep corner of the end zone.

   +35pp

   DAL
2. 2
   Q5 · 10:46·NO 31, DAL 31

   (10:46) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 12-M.Colston to DAL 24 for 9 yards (24-M.Claiborne). FUMBLES (24-M.Claiborne), recovered by NO-80-J.Graham at DAL 2. The Replay Assistant challenged the loose ball recovery ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +18pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q3 · 4:25·NO 17, DAL 17

   (4:25) 29-D.Murray left guard to DAL 7 for 4 yards (50-C.Lofton). FUMBLES (50-C.Lofton), RECOVERED by NO-50-C.Lofton at DAL 5. The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +17pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q5 · 13:33·NO 31, DAL 31

   (13:33) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 80-J.Graham to DAL 48 for 26 yards (39-B.Carr).

   +16pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q2 · 12:57·NO 7, DAL 6

   (12:57) 9-T.Romo pass deep right to 88-D.Bryant for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass complete off play action on a fly pattern.

   +15pp

   DAL