Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 8:31·SF 3, PIT 8

   (8:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 84-A.Brown pushed ob at SF 2 for 59 yards (35-E.Reid).

   +14pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:32·SF 3, PIT 8

   (10:32) (Field Goal formation) 9-P.Dawson 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.

   +12pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q1 · 6:58·SF 0, PIT 0

   (6:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle to 88-D.Heyward-Bey to SF 37 for 41 yards (36-D.Johnson).

   +12pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:11·SF 0, PIT 0

   (12:11) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 88-D.Heyward-Bey to SF 34 for -2 yards (26-T.Brock). PENALTY on PIT-72-C.Wallace, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at SF 34.

   +10pp

   SFO
5. 5
   Q1 · 13:46·SF 0, PIT 0

   (13:46) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 84-A.Brown to PIT 48 for 28 yards (35-E.Reid). San Francisco challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed. (Timeout #1.)

   +9pp

   PIT