Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:24·SF 3, PIT 6

   6-J.Nedney kicks 68 yards from SF 30 to PIT 2. 30-A.Rossum for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q1 · 6:20·SF 3, PIT 7

   (6:20) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at PIT 22 for -7 yards (55-H.Navies). FUMBLES (55-H.Navies), RECOVERED by SF-55-H.Navies at PIT 22. 55-H.Navies to PIT 22 for no gain (77-M.Smith).

   +18pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:54·SF 0, PIT 0

   (10:54) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 85-V.Davis to PIT 14 for 31 yards (27-A.Smith).

   +9pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q1 · 5:26·SF 3, PIT 7

   (5:26) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 85-V.Davis ran ob at PIT 10 for 11 yards.

   +7pp

   SFO
5. 5
   Q3 · 11:02·SF 6, PIT 14

   (11:02) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 83-H.Miller to SF 18 for 29 yards (52-P.Willis). Penalty on SF-23-M.Hudson, Illegal Contact, declined.

   +6pp

   PIT