Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:47·PIT 0, SF 0

   (10:47) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right intended for 17-M.Wallace INTERCEPTED by 22-C.Rogers at SF -4. 22-C.Rogers to SF 27 for 31 yards (78-M.Starks).

   +16pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:04·PIT 0, SF 0

   (12:04) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 17-M.Wallace pushed ob at SF 22 for 36 yards (30-R.Smith). Caught at PIT 48. 30-yds YAC

   +12pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q1 · 0:32·PIT 0, SF 3

   (:32) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left intended for 83-H.Miller INTERCEPTED by 38-D.Goldson at SF 34. 38-D.Goldson to PIT 45 for 21 yards (89-J.Cotchery).

   +11pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q1 · 7:42·PIT 0, SF 0

   (7:42) (Shotgun) 11-Alex Smith pass short left to 10-K.Williams pushed ob at PIT 38 for 8 yards (23-K.Lewis). Caught at PIT 38. 0-yds YAC

   +8pp

   SFO
5. 5
   Q4 · 11:39·PIT 3, SF 13

   (11:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at PIT 17 for -12 yards (sack split by 91-R.McDonald and 99-Ald.Smith). FUMBLES (91-R.McDonald), RECOVERED by SF-94-J.Smith at PIT 17. 94-J.Smith to PIT 17 for no gain (73-R.Foster).

   +6pp

   SFO