Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 0:08·NYJ 7, TEN 0

   (:08) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass short middle to 29-L.Washington to TEN 21 for 2 yards (90-J.Kearse). FUMBLES (90-J.Kearse), RECOVERED by TEN-96-K.Vickerson at TEN 21.

   +8pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q3 · 7:59·NYJ 13, TEN 3

   (7:59) 28-C.Johnson left tackle to TEN 35 for 11 yards (27-A.Elam). FUMBLES (27-A.Elam), RECOVERED by NYJ-99-B.Thomas at TEN 35. 99-B.Thomas to TEN 35 for no gain (73-J.Scott). Tennessee challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 07:50.)

   +8pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:43·NYJ 10, TEN 0

   (1:43) (Shotgun) 5-K.Collins pass short left to 80-B.Scaife to NYJ 24 for 17 yards (25-K.Rhodes).

   +8pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q1 · 9:01·NYJ 6, TEN 0

   (9:01) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass short left to 20-T.Jones for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:42·NYJ 7, TEN 0

   (11:42) (Shotgun) 5-K.Collins pass incomplete short left to 81-B.Jones (77-K.Jenkins).

   +6pp

   NYJ