Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:39·DAL 3, JAX 7

   (3:39) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 56 yards to JAX 14, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 18-A.Sanders MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DAL-37-C.Spillman at JAX 6. 37-C.Spillman to JAX 6 for no gain (35-D.McCray).

   +24pp

   DAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 7:13·DAL 16, JAX 7

   (7:13) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass short right to 88-D.Bryant for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   DAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:44·DAL 17, JAX 7

   (2:44) (Shotgun) 16-D.Robinson left end to DAL 33 for 2 yards (99-G.Selvie). FUMBLES (99-G.Selvie), RECOVERED by DAL-42-B.Church at DAL 33. 42-B.Church to DAL 32 for -1 yards (16-D.Robinson).

   +11pp

   DAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:27·DAL 17, JAX 7

   (3:27) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 84-C.Shorts pushed ob at DAL 35 for 53 yards (59-A.Hitchens).

   +9pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:36·DAL 3, JAX 0

   (9:36) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 84-C.Shorts to DAL 44 for 24 yards (27-J.Wilcox).

   +9pp

   JAX