Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 5:51·JAX 7, DAL 3

   (5:51) (Shotgun) 3-J.Kitna pass short middle intended for 28-F.Jones INTERCEPTED by 96-T.Knighton at JAX 42. 96-T.Knighton to JAX 39 for -3 yards (75-M.Colombo). Pass intercepted off Jones deflection.

   +15pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:36·JAX 0, DAL 0

   (12:36) (Shotgun) 3-J.Kitna pass short middle to 19-M.Austin to JAX 37 for 15 yards (36-C.Greene). PENALTY on JAX-36-C.Greene, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 37. Pass complete on crossing pattern.

   +13pp

   DAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 11:39·JAX 7, DAL 3

   (11:39) 3-J.Kitna pass short middle intended for 19-M.Austin INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Cox at JAX 23. 21-D.Cox ran ob at JAX 38 for 15 yards. Dallas challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 3-J.Kitna pass short middle intended for 19-M.Austin INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Cox at JAX 23. 21-D.Cox to JAX 23 for no gain (19-M.Austin).

   +13pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:40·JAX 7, DAL 3

   (13:40) (Shotgun) 3-J.Kitna pass deep right to 19-M.Austin to JAX 37 for 35 yards (27-R.Mathis). Pass complete on a Go route.

   +9pp

   DAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 0:14·JAX 7, DAL 3

   (:14) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at DAL 24 for -9 yards (57-V.Butler). FUMBLES (57-V.Butler) [57-V.Butler], RECOVERED by DAL-90-J.Ratliff at DAL 11. 90-J.Ratliff to DAL 11 for no gain (78-J.Black). Jacksonville challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 00:02.)

   +9pp

   DAL