Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 15:00·JAX 0, DAL 0

   M.Knorr kicks 75 yards from DAL 30 to JAX -5. S.Stith, Touchback.

   +42pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q5 · 11:28·JAX 23, DAL 17

   (11:28) M.Brunell pass to A.Whitted for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass caught on quick out right sideline.

   +31pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 6:24·JAX 17, DAL 10

   (6:24) E.Smith up the middle to JAX 30 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, touched at JAX 28, RECOVERED by JAX-F.Bryant at JAX 28. F.Bryant to JAX 33 for 5 yards (R.Cunningham).

   +24pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:41·JAX 10, DAL 7

   (:41) R.Cunningham sacked at DAL 35 for -7 yards (P.Spicer). FUMBLES (P.Spicer), RECOVERED by JAX-T.Brackens at DAL 32. T.Brackens to DAL 21 for 11 yards (M.Stepnoski).

   +19pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:06·JAX 17, DAL 17

   (:06) R.Cunningham to DAL 6 for -2 yards.

   +16pp

   JAX