Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:37·JAX 10, DEN 7

   (:37) 9-D.Garrard sacked at DEN 27 for -7 yards (90-K.Peterson). FUMBLES (90-K.Peterson), RECOVERED by DEN-92-E.Dumervil at DEN 27. 92-E.Dumervil to DEN 27 for no gain (79-T.Pashos).

   +15pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q2 · 9:39·JAX 3, DEN 7

   (9:39) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 15-B.Marshall to JAX 7 for 9 yards (21-D.Florence). FUMBLES (21-D.Florence), RECOVERED by JAX-21-D.Florence at JAX 7. 21-D.Florence to JAX 25 for 18 yards (6-J.Cutler).

   +12pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q3 · 13:56·JAX 16, DEN 7

   (13:56) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q1 · 6:48·JAX 0, DEN 7

   (6:48) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler scrambles up the middle to DEN 44 for 2 yards (97-R.Hayward). FUMBLES (97-R.Hayward), RECOVERED by JAX-27-R.Mathis at DEN 48. 27-R.Mathis to DEN 48 for no gain (74-R.Harris).

   +12pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:56·JAX 0, DEN 7

   (6:56) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 28-F.Taylor to DEN 47 for 10 yards (58-N.Webster). FUMBLES (58-N.Webster), RECOVERED by DEN-55-D.Williams at DEN 42. 55-D.Williams to DEN 42 for no gain (33-G.Jones).

   +11pp

   DEN