Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·DEN 0, JAX 0

   *** play under review ***

   +59pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 8:06·DEN 17, JAX 23

   (8:06) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 81-K.Osgood for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN [56-R.Ayers]. PENALTY on JAX-81-K.Osgood, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +15pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:47·DEN 17, JAX 24

   (4:47) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass incomplete short right to 84-B.Lloyd.

   +15pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:25·DEN 0, JAX 0

   (8:25) 28-C.Buckhalter right end to JAX 25 for 7 yards (52-Da.Smith). FUMBLES (52-Da.Smith), RECOVERED by JAX-37-S.Considine at JAX 24. 37-S.Considine to JAX 24 for no gain (67-D.Batiste).

   +14pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 3:13·DEN 14, JAX 14

   (3:13) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 80-M.Thomas to DEN 34 for 20 yards (23-R.Hill) [56-R.Ayers]. Penalty on DEN-21-A.Goodman, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.

   +14pp

   JAX