Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 1:39·JAX 14, DEN 7

   (1:39) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 35-S.Young to DEN 41 for 17 yards (27-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (27-R.Mathis), RECOVERED by JAX-99-M.Stroud at DEN 42. 99-M.Stroud to DEN 42 for no gain (89-D.Graham).

   +11pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q2 · 12:00·JAX 7, DEN 0

   (12:00) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 15-B.Marshall to JAX 35 for 49 yards (25-R.Nelson).

   +11pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 6:15·JAX 20, DEN 14

   (6:15) 32-M.Jones-Drew left tackle to DEN 2 for -1 yards (25-N.Ferguson). FUMBLES (25-N.Ferguson), RECOVERED by DEN-40-C.Cox at DEN 4. 40-C.Cox to DEN 4 for no gain (33-G.Jones; 9-D.Garrard).

   +10pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:09·JAX 7, DEN 0

   (8:09) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 15-B.Marshall to JAX 1 for 30 yards (27-R.Mathis).

   +9pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q3 · 15:00·JAX 17, DEN 7

   1-J.Carney kicks 72 yards from JAX 30 to DEN -2. 12-D.Hixon to DEN 18 for 20 yards (25-R.Nelson). FUMBLES (25-R.Nelson), RECOVERED by JAX-59-B.Iwuh at DEN 18. 59-B.Iwuh to DEN 18 for no gain (12-D.Hixon). Play Challenged by DEN and Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 14:56.)

   +9pp

   JAX