Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:19·NO 0, DAL 6

   (12:19) 21-J.Jones left tackle for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Jones's 77-yard TD run ties for 5th longest in team history.

   +16pp

   DAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 14:39·NO 7, DAL 7

   (14:39) 9-T.Romo pass deep right intended for 83-T.Glenn INTERCEPTED by 23-O.Stoutmire at DAL 49. 23-O.Stoutmire ran ob at DAL 39 for 10 yards.

   +10pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q3 · 7:53·NO 28, DAL 16

   (7:53) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass deep middle to 81-T.Owens for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Ball deflected through the hands of Fred Thomas at the NO 15 before being caught by Owens.

   +8pp

   DAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:05·NO 21, DAL 7

   (:05) 7-M.Gramatica 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-9-T.Romo.

   +7pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q3 · 14:12·NO 21, DAL 7

   (14:12) 9-T.Romo pass deep left to 83-T.Glenn to NO 19 for 50 yards (58-S.Shanle). Play action pass play.

   +7pp

   DAL