Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 8:36·CIN 3, JAX 7

   (8:36) (Punt formation) Direct snap to 30-C.Peerman. 30-C.Peerman right end to JAX 18 for 48 yards (24-M.Owens).

   +16pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q1 · 7:35·CIN 0, JAX 0

   (7:35) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle to 40-B.Leonard to JAX 37 for 13 yards (95-DA.Smith; 42-C.Prosinski) [38-A.Blake]. PENALTY on JAX-38-A.Blake, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 37.

   +14pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q3 · 11:07·CIN 17, JAX 7

   (11:07) 42-B.Green-Ellis left end to JAX 1 for no gain (94-J.Mincey). FUMBLES (94-J.Mincey), RECOVERED by JAX-99-C.Mosley at JAX 0. Touchback.

   +14pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:00·CIN 10, JAX 7

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass deep right to 18-A.Green pushed ob at JAX 1 for 42 yards (27-R.Mathis).

   +12pp

   CIN
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:00·CIN 3, JAX 7

   (7:00) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass incomplete short right to 84-J.Gresham. PENALTY on JAX-25-D.Lowery, Defensive Pass Interference, 12 yards, enforced at JAX 13 - No Play.

   +8pp

   CIN