Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:28·CIN 20, JAX 23

   (1:28) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer sacked at CIN 48 for -7 yards (93-B.McCray). FUMBLES (93-B.McCray), RECOVERED by JAX-51-A.Ayodele at JAX 45. 51-A.Ayodele to JAX 45 for no gain (63-B.Williams).

   +33pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q3 · 7:05·CIN 10, JAX 20

   17-S.Graham kicks 64 yards from CIN 30 to JAX 6. 36-D.Wimbush to JAX 23 for 17 yards (57-H.Navies). FUMBLES (57-H.Navies), RECOVERED by CIN-57-H.Navies at JAX 21. 57-H.Navies to JAX 21 for no gain (50-T.Gilbert).

   +11pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 5:23·CIN 19, JAX 23

   (5:23) 9-C.Palmer pass to 15-C.Henry for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   CIN
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:00·CIN 20, JAX 23

   (2:00) 9-C.Palmer pass to 85-C.Johnson to JAX 45 for 13 yards (25-K.Wright).

   +8pp

   CIN
5. 5
   Q4 · 6:45·CIN 13, JAX 23

   (6:45) 9-C.Palmer pass to 15-C.Henry to JAX 26 for 47 yards (27-R.Mathis). Penalty on JAX-21-T.Cousin, Illegal Contact, declined.

   +7pp

   CIN