Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 4:54·JAX 20, CIN 15

   (4:54) 8-M.Brunell pass to 82-J.Smith for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:02·JAX 14, CIN 12

   (1:02) 3-J.Kitna up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on JAX-92-R.Meier, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +17pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q3 · 13:01·JAX 14, CIN 12

   (13:01) 28-C.Dillon right tackle to CIN 47 for 1 yard. PENALTY on JAX-58-W.Rainer, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced at CIN 47.

   +14pp

   CIN
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:04·JAX 14, CIN 12

   (:04) (Shotgun) 8-M.Brunell pass incomplete to 82-J.Smith.

   +10pp

   CIN
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:50·JAX 14, CIN 6

   (1:50) 3-J.Kitna pass to 81-R.Dugans to JAX 5 for 25 yards (29-J.Craft).

   +8pp

   CIN