Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:17·JAX 19, CIN 21

   (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 9-D.Garrard pass to 80-J.Porter is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. {Broken up by J.Joseph and M.White}

   +13pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:11·JAX 19, CIN 21

   (:11) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 86-D.Northcutt to JAX 11 for 7 yards [91-R.Geathers]. Lateral to 32-M.Jones-Drew to JAX 11 for no gain. FUMBLES, recovered by JAX-18-M.Jones at JAX 8. 18-M.Jones to JAX 16 for 8 yards. Lateral to 83-G.Estandia to JAX 15 for -1 yards. 83-G.Estandia pass incomplete short left to 9-D.Garrard. PENALTY on JAX-83-G.Estandia, Illegal Forward Pass, 0 yards, enforced at JAX 15.

   +10pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 13:27·JAX 12, CIN 21

   10-J.Scobee kicks 72 yards from JAX 30 to CIN -2. 16-G.Holt to CIN 16 for 18 yards (42-C.Nkang). FUMBLES (42-C.Nkang), RECOVERED by JAX-24-M.Owens at CIN 18. 24-M.Owens for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q3 · 10:09·JAX 3, CIN 14

   (10:09) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle intended for 18-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 57-Dh.Jones at CIN 35. 57-Dh.Jones to CIN 48 for 13 yards (77-U.Nwaneri). PENALTY on JAX-32-M.Jones-Drew, Low Block, 15 yards, enforced at CIN 48.

   +7pp

   CIN
5. 5
   Q4 · 4:52·JAX 13, CIN 21

   (4:52) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 18-M.Jones to CIN 46 for 14 yards (26-M.White).

   +7pp

   JAX