Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 13:51·HOU 0, JAX 6

   (13:51) 23-A.Foster right end to HOU 46 for -3 yards (51-P.Posluszny). FUMBLES (51-P.Posluszny), RECOVERED by JAX-31-A.Youboty at HOU 38. 31-A.Youboty for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Total rushing yards credited to, Arian Foster, minus 11.

   +24pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q2 · 7:30·HOU 7, JAX 10

   (7:30) 2-N.Harris punts 43 yards to HOU 32, Center-48-J.Cain. 12-J.Jones pushed ob at JAX 26 for 42 yards (17-C.West).

   +12pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:50·HOU 17, JAX 10

   (1:50) 10-J.Scobee 55 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris.

   +10pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:16·HOU 20, JAX 13

   (1:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-L.McCown pass incomplete short middle to 80-M.Thomas (21-B.McCain).

   +8pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q2 · 6:32·HOU 13, JAX 10

   (6:32) 11-M.Leinart pass short left to 85-J.Dreessen for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-J.Mincey].

   +8pp

   HOU