Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:16·CIN 7, BAL 13

   (:16) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass incomplete short left to 30-C.Peerman.

   +26pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:00·CIN 7, BAL 13

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer scrambles left tackle to BAL 29 for 3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BAL-52-R.Lewis at BAL 29. 52-R.Lewis to BAL 29 for no gain (9-C.Palmer).

   +20pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:01·CIN 0, BAL 6

   (1:01) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right intended for 86-T.Heap INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Nelson [96-C.Dunlap] at CIN 7. 20-R.Nelson to BAL 37 for 56 yards (27-R.Rice). Penalty on BAL-73-M.Yanda, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +14pp

   CIN
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:38·CIN 7, BAL 13

   (:38) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass deep right to 89-J.Simpson ran ob at BAL 11 for 19 yards.

   +14pp

   CIN
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:20·CIN 0, BAL 6

   (:20) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass deep middle intended for 11-J.Shipley INTERCEPTED by 20-E.Reed at BAL -6. 20-E.Reed to BAL 38 for 44 yards (30-C.Peerman). Baltimore #99 Pressured QB Palmer

   +13pp

   BAL