Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 11:43·BAL 0, CIN 0

   (11:43) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass short middle to 85-C.Ochocinco to BAL 38 for 11 yards (25-C.Carr) [52-R.Lewis].

   +10pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:31·BAL 0, CIN 7

   (4:31) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass incomplete deep right to 85-C.Ochocinco. PENALTY on BAL-31-F.Washington, Defensive Pass Interference, 24 yards, enforced at BAL 39 - No Play.

   +8pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 8:13·BAL 7, CIN 17

   (8:13) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass short left to 85-C.Ochocinco to BAL 36 for 21 yards (20-E.Reed). FUMBLES (20-E.Reed), RECOVERED by BAL-20-E.Reed at BAL 36. 20-E.Reed to BAL 49 for 13 yards. Lateral to 25-C.Carr to CIN 47 for 4 yards (87-A.Caldwell).

   +7pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 6:17·BAL 7, CIN 17

   (6:17) 6-S.Hauschka 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.

   +7pp

   CIN
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:02·BAL 0, CIN 6

   (9:02) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass short middle to 87-A.Caldwell for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +5pp

   CIN