Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 5:29·CIN 0, BAL 0

   (5:29) 9-C.Palmer pass intended for 85-C.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 21-C.McAlister (20-E.Reed) at BAL 6. 21-C.McAlister to BAL 22 for 16 yards (9-C.Palmer).

   +14pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q1 · 14:19·CIN 0, BAL 0

   (14:19) 5-J.Flacco pass short left to 86-T.Heap to BAL 37 for 9 yards (92-F.Rucker). FUMBLES (92-F.Rucker), RECOVERED by CIN-91-R.Geathers at BAL 33. 91-R.Geathers to BAL 33 for no gain (78-A.Terry).

   +14pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 10:29·CIN 9, BAL 17

   (10:29) 27-R.Rice to CIN 29 for -6 yards (93-R.Jeanty). FUMBLES (93-R.Jeanty), RECOVERED by CIN-22-J.Joseph at CIN 35. 22-J.Joseph for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   CIN
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:27·CIN 0, BAL 6

   (2:27) 89-M.Clayton left end for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Mark Clayton scores on double reverse from Derrick Mason.

   +12pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:48·CIN 0, BAL 7

   (2:48) 23-C.Perry left tackle to CIN 35 for 5 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BAL-21-C.McAlister at CIN 40. 21-C.McAlister to CIN 29 for 11 yards. PENALTY on BAL-92-H.Ngata, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at CIN 29.

   +11pp

   BAL