Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:27·CIN 16, BAL 14

   (:27) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass deep middle to 87-A.Caldwell for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +40pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q4 · 7:13·CIN 10, BAL 13

   (7:13) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short left to 27-R.Rice for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Ray Rice's first TD reception of career.

   +29pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 12:27·CIN 0, BAL 6

   (12:27) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass short right intended for 85-C.Ochocinco INTERCEPTED by 20-E.Reed at BAL 48. 20-E.Reed for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Ed Reed scores 6th career TD off interception return in regular season.

   +17pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:43·CIN 10, BAL 14

   (:43) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer FUMBLES (Aborted) at BAL 24, recovered by CIN-40-B.Leonard at BAL 30. 40-B.Leonard to BAL 30 for no gain (90-T.Pryce).

   +16pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:34·CIN 10, BAL 14

   (:34) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass incomplete short middle to 85-C.Ochocinco (41-F.Walker). PENALTY on BAL-20-E.Reed, Defensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 30 - No Play.

   +14pp

   CIN