Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 7:40·TEN 20, DAL 20

   (7:40) 9-T.Romo pass short left intended for 80-M.Bennett INTERCEPTED by 20-A.Verner (98-D.Ball) at DAL 13. 20-A.Verner to DAL 1 for 12 yards (80-M.Bennett). Pass deflected by Dave Ball at line of scrimmage.

   +25pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 4:30·TEN 27, DAL 27

   Ball kicked off at the Dallas 15 for enforcement of 15-yard unsportsmanlike conduct penalty after the touchdown. 18-D.Buehler kicks 69 yards from DAL 15 to TEN 16. 83-M.Mariani to DAL 11 for 73 yards (18-D.Buehler). PENALTY on DAL-18-D.Buehler, Face Mask (15 Yards), 6 yards, enforced at DAL 11.

   +25pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 13:44·TEN 17, DAL 16

   (13:44) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass deep left to 19-M.Austin for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Austin leaps and catches the pass between two defenders at the Tennessee 44 before running the distance.

   +25pp

   DAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 4:36·TEN 27, DAL 26

   (4:36) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass short middle to 82-J.Witten for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DAL-75-M.Colombo, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +17pp

   DAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:32·TEN 33, DAL 27

   (3:32) 28-C.Johnson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   TEN