Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 3:23·TEN 10, DAL 13

   (3:23) 9-S.McNair pass intended for 85-D.Mason INTERCEPTED by 52-D.Coakley at DAL 48. 52-D.Coakley for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Return left sideline for the score; Woodson of Dallas hit McNair's arm as he threw the ball. Penalty on TEN-69-Z.Piller, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, superseded. Will be assessed on kickoff.

   +34pp

   DAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 2:00·TEN 10, DAL 7

   (2:00) 17-Q.Carter pass to 88-A.Bryant to TEN 42 for 32 yards (22-A.Dyson). Pass thrown right sideline.

   +15pp

   DAL
3. 3
   Q4 · 12:58·TEN 10, DAL 14

   (12:58) 17-Q.Carter pass to 88-A.Bryant to TEN 41 for 44 yards (22-A.Dyson). Pass complete right sideline; ball comes loose; but ruled down by contact.

   +10pp

   DAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:07·TEN 7, DAL 6

   (12:07) 17-Q.Carter pass to 82-T.McGee for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Fake handoff right; throw back left.

   +10pp

   DAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:29·TEN 0, DAL 0

   (6:29) 9-S.McNair pass to 85-D.Mason to DAL 34 for 40 yards (27-M.Edwards). Pass caught after roll left following pressure up the middle.

   +10pp

   TEN