Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 15:00·NE 20, NYJ 7

   1-M.Nugent kicks 78 yards from NYJ 30 to NE -8. 27-E.Hobbs for 108 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 2:20·NE 7, NYJ 7

   (2:20) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 81-R.Moss to NYJ 28 for 33 yards (22-J.Miller).

   +11pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 4:20·NE 7, NYJ 6

   (4:20) 10-C.Pennington pass short left to 87-L.Coles for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q1 · 5:17·NE 6, NYJ 0

   (5:17) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 83-W.Welker for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:14·NE 13, NYJ 7

   (1:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-B.Watson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +8pp

   NWE