Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 9:43·BAL 20, CIN 19

   (9:43) 9-S.McNair pass deep right intended for 85-D.Mason INTERCEPTED by 91-R.Geathers at CIN 48. 91-R.Geathers to BAL 22 for 30 yards (78-A.Terry). Baltimore challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 09:32.)

   +25pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:19·BAL 20, CIN 27

   (1:19) 7-K.Boller pass short middle intended for 86-T.Heap INTERCEPTED by 96-M.Myers at CIN -2. Touchback. {Pass deflected by Heap (BAL#86), then off L.Johnson (CIN#59), then was caught by M.Myers (CIN#96)}

   +24pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:54·BAL 20, CIN 27

   (4:54) 32-R.Johnson right guard to CIN 20 for 4 yards (92-H.Ngata). FUMBLES (92-H.Ngata), RECOVERED by BAL-20-E.Reed at CIN 30. 20-E.Reed to CIN 24 for 6 yards (79-S.Andrews).

   +21pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q3 · 8:57·BAL 10, CIN 18

   (8:57) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair sacked at BAL 34 for -8 yards (91-R.Geathers). FUMBLES (91-R.Geathers), RECOVERED by CIN-59-L.Johnson at BAL 34. 59-L.Johnson for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   CIN
5. 5
   Q4 · 12:25·BAL 19, CIN 19

   (12:25) 19-K.Larson punts 50 yards to BAL 37, Center-48-B.St. Louis. 20-E.Reed for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   BAL