Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 9:36·BUF 13, NYJ 13

   (9:36) 8-B.Moorman punts 45 yards to NYJ 17, Center-65-G.Sanborn. 36-J.Leonhard to NYJ 15 for -2 yards (57-J.Corto). PENALTY on NYJ-31-A.Carroll, Offensive Holding, 7 yards, enforced at NYJ 14.

   +31pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q5 · 2:49·BUF 16, NYJ 13

   (2:49) 9-R.Lindell 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

   +27pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:04·BUF 13, NYJ 13

   (:04) 9-R.Lindell 46 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

   +24pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q5 · 13:32·BUF 13, NYJ 13

   (13:32) 29-L.Washington right end to BUF 29 for 33 yards (56-K.Ellison).

   +24pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q5 · 7:59·BUF 13, NYJ 13

   (7:59) 9-S.Weatherford punts 43 yards to BUF 45, Center-85-J.Dearth, fair catch by 22-F.Jackson.

   +23pp

   NYJ