Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:11·NYJ 14, BUF 17

   (:11) (Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass short right intended for 81-J.McCareins INTERCEPTED by 24-T.McGee [94-A.Schobel] at BUF 31. 24-T.McGee to BUF 32 for 1 yard (86-C.Baker). Receiver and coverage along sideline.

   +20pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 10:08·NYJ 7, BUF 10

   (10:08) 10-C.Pennington pass short left intended for 87-L.Coles INTERCEPTED by 33-J.Greer at NYJ 27. 33-J.Greer pushed ob at NYJ 25 for 2 yards (87-L.Coles). Receiver and coverage along sideline.

   +15pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:37·NYJ 14, BUF 17

   (:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass short left to 29-L.Washington to NYJ 44 for 1 yard (20-D.Whitner). Screen, caught at NYJ 42.

   +12pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 2:18·NYJ 6, BUF 7

   (2:18) (Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass short right to 87-L.Coles for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear right corner of end zone.

   +11pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q1 · 1:54·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (1:54) 5-T.Edwards pass short right to 84-R.Royal to NYJ 37 for 6 yards (51-J.Vilma). FUMBLES (51-J.Vilma), RECOVERED by NYJ-54-V.Hobson at NYJ 38.

   +11pp

   NYJ